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December 08, 2008

What if Silicon Valley never updated the 486?

My first PC... that's it.  The IBM 486.  Awww yeah sheer power. 

What if IBM, Intel, and generally Silicon Valley never bothered to get off the 486?  It just hopelessly plowed 486 after 486 on us.  We liked big, powerful (at the time), PC's.  Hell this one cost like 10k.  My father bought it through the university for work.  I remember using Volkswriter on it.  But what if IBM never got off the 486.  And after years of just staying stagnet, and the famed Fijuitsu FM Towns continued to kick their asses, just never innovated, and then comes the government, stepping in to say, hey man, let's upgrade this stuff. 

Seeing all this governement intervention on the behalf of the current US auto industry is sad.  Personally GM deserves to die because they lost the vision of innovation.  They knew oil was fading away twenty years ago but screw it sell the people gas guzzlers now, hell they are selling, why not.  Give the people what they want.  And they did.  Just like the subprime mortages, give people a house, screw it if they can afford it, just let people trap themselves into debt. 

GM is the 486 that never bothered to innovate past oh.. i dunno 1980 maybe?  While the Japanese saw the writing on the wall and dived head first into new pioneering fields of innovation America looked like a slow dumb ass once again.  Ford and Chrysler much the same really. 

But now we have the new government agenda.  Its front and center, btw, apparently hybrid cars are pretty important now, and oh btw, oil may be leaving us after all, despite that big boost of nada off offshore oil rigs.  Game is up humans, thy oil supply es fading.  I find it laughable that now we're finally in tune with the need to find alternate energy.  All because of 3 events really. 

First the Obama campaign that pushed for change, in general, and the first real prez to speak up about hello america get your head outa your ass on energy. 

Two, the raise of oil to $140 a barrel in July of 2008, led to consumers paying $4+ at the pump per gallon.  Suddenly SUVs and hummers were no longer in.  It was a flash point of reality that was desperately needed.  It hit home hard.  Hybrids went from green hippie gay cars to those are pretty decent now huh. 

Three, the finanical oh my god hello unstable market scene.  Still currently in shake down.  With markets tumbling, dinos of corporate superior cash flows realizing thier cash flows were based more on funny numbers and funky metrics, well the price of something real set in, sending everything else to the floor. 

Once bailout money came to the aid of the financial fakers, the tap was open, now everyone wants, needs, demands a bailout.  First big player- the auto industry.  Next?  Probably the homebuilders, then, the consumer, give me another check and watch me stuff it in my matress. 

Now I gotta think about what the future landscape of USA is gonna look like with nearly everything that is huge and whatnot basically owned by the governement.  Nationalized life style.  Soon new car concepts will be hitting the streets with pork optional accessories.  Personally I drive an Obama 282 turbo, my dad drives a Cheney4x4 Legacy truck . 

There will be a big backlash against all this gov spending in the biz and financial sector.  With a few trillion of tax payer money sloshing around, i'm sure there will be some good scandals to be had.  Meanwhile invest in China.

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December 05, 2008

Backcasting with Japanese Animation

Last month myself and few other twitters locally here in town organized the first Ignite Columbus event.  The venune was Scott Preston's Columbus Robotics Society garage space.  Kinda fitting for a first event, lots of wires, technology, robots, all in a garage setting.  About 45 folks showed, gathered around, eat pizza and watched 15 presenters present their idea, a 5minute, 20 slide deck. 

5 minutes goes by fast.  It forces you to get to the point and move on.  I presented Backcasting with Japanese Animation.  For the longest time I've been in love with anime.  I love the way it looks, the way its drawn, the way animators and creators weave a highly immersive world of anything- scifi and robots to super powered ninjas, there are no norms, no tabboos, anything you want to do you can do it.  You don't even need to draw that well or even animate, just express some idea on the canvas. 

In pervious talks with friends and co-workers I've often talked about how research and trend hounds can learn from anime.  Why?  Well think about it, you have no constraints, you create magical far flung worlds for characters, good guys and bad guys.  You tell a story.  Along the way theres all these things you create out of nothing.  New things, new ways to travel, communicate, consume, enjoy, absorb.  Its a massive playground of ideas.  Just hanging out in that purely creative space is powerful I think.  It lets you dream, and when you dream, the impossible, highly improbably is very possible. 

Another idea in my head lately is this idea of backcasting with anime.  Theres been a handful of anime shows in recent years that have been playing with ideas that are about 10-25 years ahead of us right now.  They are dabbling in mystical ink playing off the now and painting what ifs down the line.  I often wonder when i watch these shows, could this reality, any sliver of it, any one aspect of it come to pass?  How awesome would it of been to know back in 2002 that the iphone was gonna be here?  You could of guessed, maybe even pondered and sketched it out, but from a blank slate in your mind with no surrounding stimulus or context on why and how that reality could of worked out, its difficult, let alone hard to tell anyone about.  Now stop there and go look at a few anime shows that paint the distant future.  Sure its a cartoon, but concepts with in that cartoon are very real, they are based on notions in animators today, are they just extrapolating a seed in their mind and spinning it around to see what happens?  Maybe.  But if we take their seed, and backcast it back to 2008, maybe we can find out how real that possibility could be.

This is obviously a fringe method of research.  Its not bankable by any means, just a great way to flex your mind. 

I really enjoy this idea, it has serious legs and its not so white lab coat, it basically allows you to see the potential in anything, and pull that back around and start thinking about the future.  Its fun, engaging and interesting.  I dig it.



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Ignite Promos and other videos

Last week I whipped up my very own Downfall spoof for Ignite Columbus 2 coming up in January.

And lastly for pure fun, this rally car vid is wickedly good..

My crowd sourcing mobile venture JoeMetric is gaining some speed lately so I whipped up this little vid with Animoto...

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hmmm from work

does this work again?

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