Floozy Speak!

Hell ya there is... there's big bucks in the business of overstatments.  You see it in trend spotting to stocks to companies pushing agendas left right and all over the place. 

I recently read online about how certain firms and industrys were overstating the dangers of p2p file sharing.. umm hello music industry, woah is frickin me dynamic. 

Another great place for skipping down memory lane is marketing reports that forecast the doom of certain industry segements, like Forrester did with people buying movies online or how Forbes/Fortune did a tasty piece on how AppleTVis dead already. 

Without a doubt the best place for noticing overstatements is in our own goverment.  Strap on the paranioa machine, fear everything, drive it all down to heck! 

The stock market benefits highly from overstatements, x industry blows, bail out, pull up... six months later its rolling in cash.  I think figuring out a mining system to actually seek out overstatements occuring on the web is a good thing, lets get them all down, lets create this magical timeline of doubt, put it up on the wall, see it, and now think about it all as being a laughable reality, now who benefits, why and where are they.. and what are they doing?

Bring on the overstatements, the make for content, the push an agenda and they are easily traceable.. yet in the cases like the goverment, we sure dont see the pressure hitting the white house like it should.. all those estimates about the war before we shot the first round are laughable now, hilarious in some respects and in others down right scary how far off the frickin map we were. 

Its not gonna change, our all connected, now this day, this reality, this connected exsistance isnt gonna slow down, and so as a result overstatement mentalities will continue, as much as we dislike it.. we seem to want it.

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Posted by dan at 02:53 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Bill Gates and Steve Jobs got together at the D conference this week and spilled out gallons of goodness on trends, technology and learning bits from the past. 

It was interesting that when the two were asked to talk about the future of the mobile lifestyle device and home/work environments, Gates expressed that at home you'll have the 10foot experience, meaning i guess, that 10feet from you will be all types of connectivity and access. 

Microsoft is big on the frontier of the smart home, despite whether or not its completely taken off or not.  Gates went on about how every desk or table could have projection screens and computer functionality and the interviewer asked "can i have a desk without it?" and Gates said yes... LOL

These interviews are fun to watch.  Steve is big on his own hype his own future his proven track record, he's more than confident, he's a force on the stage.  Steve's also very open, very neutral and very human in explaining where the future is headed and you get the sense that he knows people and he recongizes that people will decide what filters to the top on ideas. 

Bill is more technical more developed in R&D, holds promise but not sure if theres a market there or not, hes not as solid on the future state like Steve is.  Steve creates a landscape in your mind where you're in control where as Bill is not, you see boxes and tech not future state dreams. 

Definately worth watching... listening..

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Posted by dan at 12:52 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

So microsoft made a splash today with the surface table, a pc monitor strapped into a coffee table.  Not totally amazing per say but its microsoft so its good to see them actually step outa the farm a bit and innovate something new to play with.. cant wait to see the blue screen of death on that baby. 

But it also begs the question, whats next?  Is the coffee table the next remote, next control console next whatever? 

I had a vision in my head a few years back about a coffee table in bars and clubs that people could gather around, look at phones, order drinks, play social network like games on and more.  Surface tech from microsoft could probably do that to an extent, but then again any pc or mac with flash could probably create what i'm thinking about. 

Personally I think this all started with lighting.  Lighting is always an innovative sector of interior/exterior design.  You see alot of leaps and changes in the lighting scene, and then it spilled over into hackers and wifi nuts who started developing ambient devices, and now the pc coffeetable is on the scene, whats next? 

Smart environments?  Computer controlled "honey i'm home" houses?  Probably, should be interesting...

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Posted by dan at 09:56 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

So microsoft made a splash today with the surface table, a pc monitor strapped into a coffee table.  Not totally amazing per say but its microsoft so its good to see them actually step outa the farm a bit and innovate something new to play with.. cant wait to see the blue screen of death on that baby. 

But it also begs the question, whats next?  Is the coffee table the next remote, next control console next whatever? 

I had a vision in my head a few years back about a coffee table in bars and clubs that people could gather around, look at phones, order drinks, play social network like games on and more.  Surface tech from microsoft could probably do that to an extent, but then again any pc or mac with flash could probably create what i'm thinking about. 

Personally I think this all started with lighting.  Lighting is always an innovative sector of interior/exterior design.  You see alot of leaps and changes in the lighting scene, and then it spilled over into hackers and wifi nuts who started developing ambient devices, and now the pc coffeetable is on the scene, whats next? 

Smart environments?  Computer controlled "honey i'm home" houses?  Probably, should be interesting...

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Posted by dan at 09:56 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

The wave is coming.  We're on the crest of another massive wave on the 2.0 scene.  We're about to take a massive ride down the slope of video groove goodness. 

YouTube kicked off this craze just a few years ago, but now its mutated into something I doubt many people could of really perdicted to occur in such a short amount of time.

When I first watched Justin.TV, i thought neat, thats like a dude on a webcam 24/7, I immediately thought to myself it will tank, how do you keep that up?  How do you stay wired 24/7 on the web with a webcam strapped to your head?  I bet people thought the same thing about Real World on MTV when it first hit, reality tv, what a joke.  Yet its alive and well, and sure theres a ton of crap out there but theres also some really good stuff. 

I still think Justin.TV is limited, an always on focus regardless of real content or not has gotta peek at some point.  So why am still excited about the overall 24/7 medium idea? 

Well after Justin.TV popped up, uStream.TV arrived on the scene, it was create your own broadcast show, be like Justin.TV 24/7.  Neat but not so neat for me

Then I heard about Operator 11.  A site where you create a channel, produce shows and even do live broadcasts with your own bin of content or folks you know online at that moment.  It also has myspace like personas with friends and more. 

At first Operator 11 was kinda like "yikes" here's another bizzare experiement to endure.  Yet another beta for me to play in.  But i figured what the hell I'll give it a whirl.

Flash based it seems, and its apparent that flash which used to be like "dont rely on it overall for your total site design" is back with a vengence, flash is in.  So ya Operator 11.  Interesting stuff.  I created a profile, created a few videos and it felt like youtube a bit.  Then I created a show live.

Right away I was kinda lost.  I don't know the rules of the system.  Like how long could you record for, hows the quality, whats the real deal?  You dont know any of that up front.  Operator 11 could benefit from a nice detailed experience tour or something showing you the real power of the site. 

For me, like others, learning the real power of the site was awkward but doable.  In the beta scene you're used to tripping over interfaces and being confused about what to do, after all the creators are probably doing the same. 

So after a few hours of kicking this site around, and thats unique right there, hours.. wow.  Operator 11 is pretty cool. 

The other day I signed up for another site like it called Mogulus which is like Operator 11 but looks like it has a bit more TV station like stuff you can do, add graphics, do lower thirds and a cool ability i wish Operator 11 had, import clips from the web, from google, from youtube and so on.  That would rock. 

Right there kids, thats the new frontier.  Youtube will always be an outlet for crazy animals gone wild or some dude who blows up his hand with a firecracker but creators, the next gen of vid punks who are gonna make names for themselves need a channel, need control of a channel and need interaction, and thats happening on these new sites. 

Now the only thing is price, bandwidth and overall experience, plus that all consuming viral stickyness of it.  Bandwidth issues can easily tank either concept in a heartbeat.  Charging users could too.  Overall experience, well like the beta scene goes, people will go through alot to express themselves. 

I think bandwidth will be the biggest issue to overcome.  Right now theres a handful of creators out there determined to make their mark, then theres the 5000 other folks screwin around, soon that will shift, you'll have 5000 diehard creators and 400,000 screwballs.. bandwidth should be really interesting then.

Lastly, the one last bit I got for ya.. Apple TV.  Someone has done it, they've hacked it to play youtube videos.  So now you can get all of itunes, all your general content, joost, and now youtube on that little box.  That's damn spiffy.  Go go apple TV! 

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Posted by dan at 04:05 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Forrester reports that Apple TV, Amazon, Netflix and all future offerings of renting or buying movies on demand isn't gonna fly in the future. 

The report is typical short sighted Forrester, the biggest problem of the report is that they asked the wrong questions.  It almost feels like they were pressured to say a certain result. 

Its clear that DVR's are here to stay.  TIVO started this game, the network and cables companies followed suit and now one of the biggest players of them all is on the scene with Apple TV.  Thats not whimsical wonder spending happening there, theres serious stragety involved in the mix. 

So why does Forrester have the wrong results?  The pricing question is all wrong.  The future of movies and tv on your Apple TV isn't going to come from a per purchase buy.  People freak out about the little numbers, but they'll slide on by the subscription fee.  Subscription models that pay off nicely with consistently new offerings regarding content will be the success behind this whole idea.

Advertisers are just now figuring out how to get their hand in the cookie jar as well.  Its definately not going to be all ad supported networks.  Consumers will buy, they just won't do it per piece or not as often. 

Here's how I see it.  Rentals will work via subscription.  A paid per piece offering will work only if theres fail safes involved, backup copies, assured "i get this if my whole system poofs".  Even then per piece paid options are going to be cheap.  That then gets everyone upset, too cheap!!  But subscritptions make more sense.  Put me down for $45 a month, and that gets me unlimited rentals that expire in 7 days or something. 

Whatever move its going to be, they are going to be small, inches of headway into the big picture but concepts like Apple TV are not going to disappear.  Heck just playing joost back on the apple tv makes it shine.

So what gets me the most here is that Forrester asks the wrong questions, gets data that supports the paranoid future agenda and then dishes it up to the masses in direct blindness of where the market is going right now.  Consumers are headed that way regardless yet were being told its all bad.

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Posted by dan at 05:01 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

Man just when "presence' was getting interesting a few peeps out there gotta go cue up a new buzzword to deal with... "new presence!" now with even better presence abilities. 

People are twittering out.  Yep there.  I said it.  I said it before and I'll say it again.  Twitter won't last.  It can't.  Not without moderation, restrictions or some kinda gauge of reality placed on it.  People are beginning to reach the limits of twitters offering.  Total on ears hearing everything from the man in San Jaun eating a burrito in a diner to kids playing ping pong in a remote location somewhere out there to someone twittering about disco pants and hair cuts to darth vader telling me the news of the day, its gotta end. 

I think a fun analogy here is that whole movie scanners.  Some scanners can fine tune their frequencies they can hear select things, tap into people and do great stuff, while other scanners hear it all, all the voices, all at the same volume.. and most of those scanner dudes go beserk and slaughter folks.

I'm waiting for the trial where some kid tells the world.. "twitter told me to do it... thats why i killed him..."

Twitter burn out is coming.. and the new presence is next up for consumption.  Ambient, aware, presence management.... "dan is here right now.. he's typing a new blog entry..."  sure I tell it what to say, i adjust its "output" much like my internet explorer,... am I Free Wheeling, Curious Groovy, Flasher, Safe to Paranoid... 

My PC will tell you what i'm doing.  Personally I think I'll put myself on the Curious Groovy, one step over flasher.  I like to spill it, but in controlled amounts, so no bookmarks, talk in apps, and moods, maybe take my temp while i do the activity, or send out my heart beat, or what i ate last, hey.. how about what i watched last or something. 

Automate it for me.  Take the work outa communicating. 

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Posted by dan at 03:45 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)